The Kremlin is in trouble: the number of Russian casualties has rapidly exceeded the daily average

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From 2024 beginning of January until April 1 Russia lost 82 thousand. soldiers, according to the data published by the Ukrainian army. If Moscow continues to lose the same amount of troops every day, Kyiv estimates that Russia will lose 331,480 troops by the end of the year. This is significantly higher than in 2023. the projected number of Russian casualties. According to Ukrainian data, Kremlin forces suffered 252,570 casualties last year.

War in Ukraine

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Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

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War in Ukraine (photo by SCANPIX)

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Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

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Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

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Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

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Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

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Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

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Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

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Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

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Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

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Ukrainian soldiers (photo by SCANPIX)

The numbers fluctuate

The portal “Newsweek” declares that the number of victims fluctuates in various reports, and the data provided by Ukraine cannot be independently verified. In Western analyses, the probable number of Russian victims since the beginning of the war amounts to about 350,000. The General Staff of Kyiv stated that from 2022 February 24 until 2024 April 1 Russia lost 442,880 soldiers.

Despite some skepticism among analysts about the accuracy of Ukraine’s statistics, these figures show how much damage the war has done to the Russian military.

Earlier this year, as Russia tried to take control of the strategically important eastern city of Avdiyivka, the number of dead and injured rose significantly. This city was called “meat mill”.

Avdijivka (photo SCANPIX)

The casualty average is increasing

The British government stated that Russia’s average daily casualties were increasing with each year of the war. According to the Ministry of Defense of the United Kingdom (UK), in 2022 this number reached 400, and in 2023 increased to 693.

During the first three years of 2024 For months, Russia’s daily death toll averaged 913, the UK government said. According to London, Russian losses eased in March when the fighting around Avdijivka stopped.

But Ukraine has warned that Russia is preparing for a new attack. As a result, Kyiv significantly strengthened its defenses in Kharkiv, located 32 km from the Russian border.

The Kharkiv typography factory was shelled (photo by SCANPIX)

A smaller army

Russia, despite suffering heavy losses, has managed to replenish its ranks, with the head of US European Command, General Christopher Cavoli, recently stating that the Russian military is now 15 percent strong. higher than in 2022 in February and that she is learning from her mistakes.

“Ukraine is a much smaller country than Russia, and its supply of military-age personnel capable of serving is correspondingly smaller,” said Jacob Parakil, director of defense strategy, policy and capabilities research at RAND Europe.

Western aid is likely to be an important factor in determining Russian casualties.

“Everything will depend on whether Ukraine gets enough artillery ammunition to repel Russian attacks and do enough to weaken their offensive,” said Frederik Mertens, an analyst at the Center for Strategic Studies in The Hague.


The article is in Lithuanian

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